Undergraduate Math Club Presents: Professor David Constantine (Wes) ' The SIR Model and the Ebola Outbreak'

Thursday, November 20, 2014
12:00 PM - 1:00 PM (ET)
ESC 109
Event Type
Academic Calendar
Contact
David Constantine, x2167
Department
Math/CS Other
Link
https://eaglet.wesleyan.edu/MasterCalendar/EventDetails.aspx?EventDetailId=63513

What can mathematics tell us about the Ebola outbreak in West Africa? Can we understand the spread of the disease and make predictions about its course? How can modeling inform the public health response? In this talk, I'll survey the SIR model, a simple but important tool in epidemiology. Using some simple ideas from probabilty, calculus, and differential equations, we'll build a model that has predicted the course of the outbreak very well so far. Then we'll look at some ways we might modify it to make it more accurate and to better reflect the way diseases spread. We'll see what it can tell us about bringing the outbreak under control, about herd immunity, and about why you should get a flu shot. Lunch will be provided!

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